
Tech hiring trends in 2026: inside the two-speed tech job market
Tech hiring rates fell to 21.8% in 2026 – but it's a two-speed market, with AI and top sales talent still hot. See hiring by country, function, and stage.

How much of a pay rise should come with a promotion? And how many of your employees should you expect to promote each year?
Career progression is one of the biggest levers companies have for retention right now – 54% of companies say they're leaning on career development to keep their people next year, and 35% say a lack of career progression was the reason for losing the employees they didn't want to lose (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
Promotion rates reveal whether your company is delivering on career advancement expectations and, when benchmarked against your industry peers, tells you if you're creating enough growth opportunities to retain your top talent.
So, let’s take a look at the latest promotion data from Ravio's 2027 Compensation Trends report – exploring typical promotion raises and promotion rates, as well as how they vary across locations, functions, and company stages.
Quick answers: promotion raises and promotion rates in 2026
Just looking for the data? Here’s the TLDR:
Source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027 – live data from 1,800+ companies and 618,000+ employee datapoints, plus a survey of 150 People and Reward Leaders.
The average promotion raise in 2026 is 21.8% (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
This is the median pay bump employees receive when promoted to a more senior role – a substantially larger increase than typical in-role salary adjustments to bring an employee's pay in line with their new level of seniority and increased responsibilities.
That's slightly higher than 21.2% in 2025 and 20.6% in 2024 – and roughly five times the typical in-role pay rise of 4.2%.
2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
Median promotion pay increase | 20.6% | 21.2% | 21.8% |
Median in-role pay increase | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% |

The average promotion raise in 2026 ranges from 20.1% in Spain to 31.2% in France (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
France is the clear outlier this year. Its median promotion raise jumped from 21.4% to 31.2% – by far the largest promotion-based increase of any market.
Everywhere else, promotion raises sit in a tight 20-23% range, which is a good guide to what's "normal" for a promotion in European tech.
Country | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
UK | 20.4% | 20.9% | 21.4% |
Germany | 21.6% | 23.6% | 22.6% |
Netherlands | 20.0% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
France | 20.8% | 21.4% | 31.2% |
Spain | 21.2% | 21.2% | 20.1% |
Sweden | 21.0% | 21.8% | 21.2% |
In the UK, the average promotion raise in 2026 is 21.4%, slightly below the European median of 21.8% (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
Median promotion raise – Europe-wide | 20.6% | 21.2% | 21.8% |
Median promotion raise – UK | 20.4% | 20.9% | 21.4% |
Promotion raises are broadly similar across job functions, with most between 20% and 23%.
Operations (24.0%) and Commercial (22.7%) employees received the biggest promotion raises in 2026 (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
Function | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
Operations | 20.0% | 21.2% | 24.0% |
Commercial | 21.1% | 21.4% | 22.7% |
Engineering | 20.4% | 20.5% | 20.7% |
Marketing | 20.7% | 20.8% | 20.7% |
People | 20.4% | 22.1% | 20.5% |
Product | 20.0% | 22.1% | 20.4% |
By funding stage, late-stage startups increased promotion raises the most this year, to 23.3% – while early-stage companies have held steady at 20.0% for three years running.
Company stage | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
Early-stage (pre-seed and seed) | 20.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
Growth-stage (Series A and B) | 20.5% | 21.7% | 21.0% |
Late-stage (Series C+ and IPO) | 20.5% | 21.4% | 23.3% |
The average promotion rate in 2026 is 2.7% (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
This represents the percentage of employees who received a promotion in the past 12 months (to Q3 2026) – where ‘promotion’ is defined as a pay increase of more than 15%, the minimum raise typically associated with advancing to a more senior role.
That's up from 2.4% in both 2025 and 2024 – a modest increase in the number of employees getting promoted, after two flat years.
2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
Promotion rate | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
Promotion rates range from 1.6% in France to 3.6% in the UK (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
Country | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
UK | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
Germany | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.1% |
Netherlands | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% |
France | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% |
Spain | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
Sweden | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
Germany saw the biggest change, with its promotion rate more than doubling from a low base of 1.0% to 2.1%. Spain is the only market where promotion rates fell, for the second year running.
Put promotion rates and promotion raises side by side, and two different approaches emerge.
The UK promotes most often (3.6% of employees) with a promotion raise below the European median (21.4%). France is the opposite: the lowest promotion rate (1.6%), but by far the biggest raise (31.2%). Some markets promote more often with modest increases, while others promote less often but with bigger changes in base pay.

People (3.1%) and Product (2.9%) teams had the highest promotion rates in 2026, while Operations had the lowest at 1.7% (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
Function | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
People | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% |
Product | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% |
Commercial | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
Engineering | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% |
Marketing | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
Operations | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% |
By funding stage, late-stage companies saw the sharpest rise in promotion rates (from 1.8% to 2.7%), reversing a decline the year before.
Combined with their bigger promotion raises, late-stage promotions are both more frequent and more generous than last year – improved career progression being naturally associated with larger organisations with more roles and levels.
Company stage | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
Early-stage (pre-seed and seed) | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
Growth-stage (Series A and B) | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
Late-stage (Series C+ and IPO) | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% |
In Ravio's survey of People and Reward Leaders (September 2026), 40% expect to promote 6-10% of their workforce at the next cycle, and 35% expect to promote 1-5% of their team.
% of workforce expected to be promoted next cycle | % of respondents |
|---|---|
0% | 4% |
1-5% | 35% |
6-10% | 40% |
11-15% | 16% |
16-20% | 3% |
More than 20% | 1% |
That's well above the 2.7% promotion rate in Ravio's dataset – which may be partly because many companies count level changes that come with a raise below 15% as promotions, which Ravio's definition excludes. If you're benchmarking your own promotion rate, it's worth checking which definition you're using to ensure an accurate comparison.
Nearly half of companies (49%) aren't changing their approach to promotions this year.
Where they are, it's mostly about investing in career development (28%) and tightening who qualifies (27%) – very few are changing the size of promotion raises.
Are you changing your approach to promotions this year? | % of respondents |
|---|---|
No change | 49% |
Investing more in career development and L&D | 28% |
Tightening eligibility (fewer promotions) | 27% |
Increasing typical promotion increase size | 4% |
Relaxing eligibility (more promotions) | 4% |
Decreasing typical promotion increase size | 2% |
Investing less in career development and L&D | 1% |
Most companies don't have a fully structured approach to promotion raises – 78% decide case by case, though it may be that this (at least partly) reflects a structure which then flexes based on specific circumstances per employee.
Where there is a defined approach, the most common (13%) is to move everyone promoted to the bottom of the next salary band (source: Ravio Compensation Trends 2027).
How do you approach promotion-based salary increases? | % of respondents |
|---|---|
Case-by-case decision | 78% |
All promotions moved to the bottom of the next salary band | 13% |
All promotions get the same % increase (e.g. 20%) | 5% |
All promotions moved to the midpoint of the next salary band | 5% |
Each approach to deciding promotion increase amounts has its trade-offs.
Amanda Moore, Senior Director of Reward, Performance & Analytics at Beyond ONE, warns against relying on band minimums alone.
"Moving everyone promoted to the bottom of the new band sounds neat, but it can mean a strong performer only gets a 5% bump while their peers doing the same job are paid 15-20% more," she says.
"It shouldn’t be the only way you consider doing it."
At Storyblok, Paula Aragon, Senior Total Rewards Specialist, works from a structured range with room for judgement.
"There should be an overall approach for promotion increases. We work from a set range depending on the type of promotion, with guardrails like a minimum comp-ratio in the new band and calibration to protect pay equity," she says.
"But every person comes from a different starting point and context, so on top of that range managers can decide to be more aggressive for a specific case. It's not pure improvisation, but it's not rigid either."
Benchmarks tell you what's typical. Building a promotion process that's fair, consistent, and affordable is a separate job.
Here's what Reward Leaders we've worked with recommend:
Employee promotion is when an individual advances to a more senior role within their organisation, typically involving increased responsibilities, greater impact on the business, and a corresponding salary increase.
In European tech, the median promotion raise is 21.8% (Ravio Compensation Trends 2027), and in most markets promotion raises sit between 20% and 23%. Ravio only counts increases of more than 15% as promotions, so a raise below that is unusually low for a genuine move up a level. The right raise for an individual depends on where they sit in their current band and where they land in the new one.
A 10% raise is low for a promotion in European tech, where the median is 21.8% and most promotion raises are between 20% and 23%. It can happen when someone is already paid near the top of their current band, or when a company moves everyone promoted to the bottom of the next band – but it's worth checking where the new salary sits against market rates for the new level.
The promotion rate formula is: (Number of employees promoted / Total average headcount) × 100. This gives you the promotion rate as a percentage.
For example, if 27 employees were promoted over 12 months and your average headcount during that period was 1,000, your promotion rate would be 2.7%.
The same formula gives you your internal promotion rate. Decide upfront what counts as a promotion – Ravio counts a pay increase of more than 15%, for instance.
A good promotion rate depends on your industry, company stage, and organisational structure. What matters most is whether your promotion rate aligns with strategic objectives and employee expectations – too low may signal limited growth opportunities, whilst too high could indicate an overly complex organisational structure or unsustainable pay progression.
According to Ravio's 2027 Compensation Trends report, the average promotion rate in European tech is 2.7% – ranging from 1.6% in France to 3.6% in the UK, and from 1.7% in Operations to 3.1% in People teams.
Communicating a promotion effectively starts long before the actual announcement – pay and progression should be ongoing conversations throughout the year, not one-off events. When employees understand your career framework and receive regular feedback on their development, promotions feel like natural progressions rather than surprises.
When it comes time to deliver the news, some effective tactics include:
Justifying a promotion should be based on your company's job levelling framework and career progression criteria, not subjective opinion. Document evidence that the employee is already operating at the next level: their scope of responsibilities, business impact, level of autonomy, and technical expertise, and then compare their performance against the competencies defined for the target level.
Conduct an exit interview to understand their perspective and whether the decision could have been communicated better. Review whether your promotion criteria are clearly communicated to all employees, whether the employee received adequate feedback on what they needed to demonstrate for promotion, and whether your promotion rates are competitive with the market. If this becomes a pattern, it may signal a need to review your organisational structure, career framework, or promotion budget.
First, understand their reasons through an open conversation – they may be content in their current role, concerned about work-life balance, or worried about managing people. Sometimes managers weren't involved in the promotion decision, or didn't understand the employee's career goals. Respect their decision and discuss alternative growth opportunities that align with their preferences, such as expanding expertise, taking on strategic projects, or increasing compensation within their current level. Not everyone wants to climb the traditional career ladder.
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